Uveliso lwamandla elanga eJapan ngo-2030, ngaba iintsuku ezinelanga ziya kubonelela ngombane omninzi emini?

Ngo-Matshi 30, i-2022, iNkqubo eBanzi, ephanda ukuqaliswa kweenkqubo zokuvelisa amandla e-photovoltaic (PV) eJapan, ibike ixabiso langempela kunye nelilindelekileyo lokuqaliswa kwenkqubo ye-photovoltaic ngo-2020. Kwi-2030, yapapasha "I-Prediction of the ukwaziswa kokuveliswa kwamandla e-photovoltaic kwimarike yaseJapan ngo-2030 (uhlelo luka-2022)”.

Ngokoqikelelo lwayo, ukuqaliswa okuqokelelweyo kweenkqubo ze-photovoltaic eJapan ngo-2020 malunga ne-72GW, ngokusekelwe kwimveliso yangoku ngqo (DC)."Kwimeko yokukhula yangoku" ukugcina izinga langoku le-DC introductions malunga ne-8 GW ngonyaka, i-forecast yi-154 GW, kunye ne-alternating current (AC) output (AC) ye-121 GW kwi-FY2030Note 1).Ngakolunye uhlangothi, "i-Introduction Acceleration Case", ekulindeleke ukuba iphucule kakhulu kwaye iqhubele phambili indawo yokungenisa, inesiseko se-DC se-180GW (isiseko se-AC se-140GW).

Ngendlela, kwi-"Sixth Basic Energy Plan" equlunqwe nguMphathiswa wezoQoqosho, uRhwebo kunye neShishini ngo-Oktobha 22, i-2021, inani lamandla elanga elaziswa eJapan ngo-2030 "117.6GW (AC kwinqanaba lokunqwenela).Isiseko)”.Inqanaba “lebhongo” leSebe lezoQoqosho, uRhwebo noShishino liphantse lahambelana nesantya sangoku sentshayelelo.

Noko ke, ezi DC-based amaxabiso imveliso PV inkqubo zilinganiswe xa iimeko ezithile ezifana lobushushu kunye nelanga engile zihlangatyezwane.Enyanisweni, amaxesha e-7 (× 0.7) yincopho yokuvelisa amandla ombane.Oko kukuthi, nge-2030, kulindeleke ukuba ikwazi ukuvelisa malunga ne-85 GW phantsi kwemeko yokukhula yangoku malunga nemini kwimozulu enelanga emini, kwaye malunga ne-98 GW phantsi kwentshayelelo ekhawulezayo (zombini i-AC-based).

Kwelinye icala, incopho yakutshanje yemfuno yamandla yonyaka yaseJapan ijikeleze i-160GW (kwisiseko esitshintshanayo sangoku).Phambi kwenyikima enkulu yaseMpuma Japan ngoMatshi ka-2011, yayimalunga ne-180GW (efana nalapha ngasentla), kodwa ngokuqhubela phambili kwenkqubo yokonga amandla entlalo, izinga lokukhula koqoqosho liye lacotha, kwaye uguquko lwezoqoqosho luye lwahambela phambili, kwaye ukuveliswa kwamandla kwehlile.Ukuba imfuno yombane ngo-2030 iphantse yafana nale ngoku, ingabalwa ukuba i-98GW / 160GW = 61% okanye ngaphezulu kwemfuno yombane yaseJapan inokuhlangatyezwa ngamandla elanga emini kunye nemozulu yelanga.